Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 179 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 17% on 17 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 29 Jun 2025. $1.37M traded over the market's life.
112 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 179 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between January 2 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-before-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 28.85K |
| GeorgZ | Yes | 21.62K |
| silverspirit | Yes | 3.45K |
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 2.48K |
| Perlimpinpin | Yes | 2.18K |
| R2010 | Yes | 2.01K |
| sampro | Yes | 1.7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
