Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2025 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 4 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jan 2025. $69.18K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 10:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gandalf | Yes | 500 |
| qz785 | Yes | 305 |
| degen21 | Yes | 250 |
| ZhuoZi-397 | Yes | 142.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Starmer government has come under criticism for not investigating gangs notorious for committing sexual abuse in the United Kingdom over the last decade. You can read more about that here: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4xnv02nr0o This market will resolve to "Yes" if a UK government led by Keir Starmer formally announces a new national public inquiry specifically into these "grooming gangs" before January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the Starmer government actually begins the investigation within the market timeframe. If Starmer is out as UK Prime Minister for any length of time before such an announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Starmer and the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/starmer-inquiry-into-grooming-gangs-before-february
| crixoule | Yes | 142.86 |
| TomDean | Yes | 125 |
| Vladimir333 | Yes | 50 |
| Emerald Falcon 810C | Yes | 40.6 |
| loxyNeProidyt | No | 40.04 |
| YaDyzheKrituiMukola | No | 35.04 |
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