Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 27 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 99.3% on 18 Jan 2025 and the low 15% on 2 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 85.5% on 14 Jan 2025. $5.24M traded over the market's life.
283 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 2:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 27 Dec 2024 – 18 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2024 | 41.5% |
| 18 Jan 2025 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cryptotard | No | 197.97K |
| Tesla005 | No | 57.1K |
| ciaospenis | No | 32.09K |
| aspectiscool | No | 27.46K |
| wideawaketoo | No | 25.83K |
| sdffcgfsdgh | No | 15.45K |
| Alex255385 | No | 11.75K |
| CityNeko | No | 10.63K |
| KJH235 | No | 10.1K |
| opop5678955 | No | 8.84K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between December 25 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-by-january-31
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