Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3% on 2 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 81 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2024 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 4% on 6 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. $28.69M traded over the market's life.
804 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 12:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 2 Nov 2024 – 21 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2024 | 3.0% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.5M |
| BrightHorizon | Yes | 1.37M |
| Doomers | Yes | 269.7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone other than Kamala Harris or Donald J. Trump is inaugurated as President of the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Inauguration day is currently scheduled for January 20, 2025. If inauguration day is delayed, this market will remain open until someone has been inaugurated. If no one has been inaugurated by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-inaugurated-as-president
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 264.69K |
| TomHanksFan | Yes | 247.86K |
| sickotron | Yes | 221.82K |
| yngha | Yes | 208.06K |
| LeonTheBad | Yes | 141.93K |
| rymn | Yes | 134.63K |
| navigator | Yes | 121.93K |
