Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 687.35 |
| $0.015 |
| $10 |
| May 13, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 20.58 | $0.292 | $6 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 156.14 | $0.032 | $5 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.670 | $4 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 567.5 | $0.004 | $2.27 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.999 | $6.05 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?No | sell | 100.93 | $0.500 | $50.47 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?No | buy | 37.09 | $0.539 | $20 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 26.83 | $0.410 | $11 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?No | buy | 100.94 | $0.198 | $20 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 31.74 | $0.930 | $29.52 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 43.65 | $0.910 | $39.72 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?No | buy | 4.52 | $0.830 | $3.75 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 43.65 | $0.229 | $10 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.110 | $13.75 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.830 | $5.91 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 23.86 | $0.880 | $21 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.900 | $9.1 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?No | buy | 30.57 | $0.350 | $10.7 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25.13 | $0.398 | $10 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will another movie gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.170 | $25 | Jul 10, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 19.64 | $0.560 | $11 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?No | buy | 34.88 | $0.430 | $15 | Jun 3, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Jun 3, 2024 |