Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 21, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$223.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 21, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.1%. Yes opened at 48% on 13 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2024 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 98.1% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 48% on 13 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 92.5% on 20 Jan 2025. $223.4K traded over the market's life.

47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 7:34 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 13 Dec 2024 – 21 Jan 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Dec 2024	48.0%
21 Jan 2025	98.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
AManForAllMarkets	No	11.97K
RogerPodacter	No	3K
degeneratedrew	No	1.32K

10 of 47 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump on January 20, 2025 ET, for crimes related to the January 6 Capitol attack. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that Trump will pardon individuals will not count. Only pardons, commutations, or reprieves actually issued on that date will count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for whether any protestor is pardoned will be official information from the US government (e.g. https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemency-recipients), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.