Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 22 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 304 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2023 to 21 Jul 2024, the highest close was 87.5% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 11.5% on 1 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 61% on 18 Jul 2024. $21.12M traded over the market's life.
753 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 8:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 304 points, 22 Sep 2023 – 21 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2023 | 22.5% |
| 21 Jul 2024 | 74.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Npelo123 | No | 100.31K |
| Gigantic-Worry | No | 54.46K |
| lalaaa | No | 49.17K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by 12:01 AM ET on November 5, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race
| uncledesi | No | 35.88K |
| Thankful-Cycle | No | 35.48K |
| mcdon | No | 33.2K |
| Gipsy | No | 30.26K |
| Jirachi | No | 30K |
| PolyAnglo | No | 28.42K |
| iioooiii | No | 26.81K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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