Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 338 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2024 to 3 Jan 2025, the highest close was 50% on 1 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5% on 2 Feb 2024. $5.97M traded over the market's life.
356 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 2:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 338 points, 1 Feb 2024 – 3 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | 50.0% |
| 3 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.68M |
| MyUserAccount | Yes | 409.51K |
| 0123456789 | Yes | 21.18K |
This is a market on predicting which film will have the highest box office earnings in 2024.
Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2024/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-grossing-movie-in-2024
| Tmichem | Yes | 16.27K |
| Melody626 | Yes | 8K |
| ramar9 | Yes | 5K |
| DeGeneticist | Yes | 4.03K |
| AndyC009 | Yes | 3.86K |
| LoseSavings | Yes | 3.63K |
| GreenCollector | Yes | 2.71K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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