Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83%. Yes opened at 28% on 6 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2025 to 9 Jun 2025, the highest close was 83% on 9 Jun 2025 and the lowest 28% on 6 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 83% on 9 Jun 2025. $596.76K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 10, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 6 Jun 2025 – 9 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2025 | 28.0% |
| 9 Jun 2025 | 83.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PRESIDENTEJavierMilei | No | 6.94K |
| Nobuya213 | No | 3.22K |
| Hecto88 | No | 2.81K |
| moon1312 | No | 2.51K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by June 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board the vessel Madleen, while carrying Greta Thunberg, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-raid-greta-thunbergs-ship-by-monday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| arielblanco | No | 2.17K |
| AchiHeethoofd | No | 1.02K |
| nojeffrey | No | 1K |
| PanchyBreak | No | 652.63 |
| nopeAAA | No | 639.74 |
| frank. | No | 625.59 |
