Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No | sell | 4.41 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Mar 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 0.15 |
| $0.570 |
| $0.09 |
| Mar 25, 2026 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | sell | 0.39 | $0.760 | $0.3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | sell | 0.62 | $0.850 | $0.53 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.973 | $0.56 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 71.89 | $0.007 | $0.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.520 | $0.79 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.790 | $0.96 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.943 | $1.06 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.540 | $1.23 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.948 | $1.25 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.94 | $0.680 | $1.32 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.985 | $1.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.38 | $0.330 | $1.45 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.530 | $1.27 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.964 | $1.61 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 52.5 | $0.031 | $1.63 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5.49 | $0.320 | $1.76 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Paul Hounkpè be the next President of Benin?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.950 | $1.93 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 3.88 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.15 | $0.956 | $2.06 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.800 | $2.1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No | sell | 2.42 | $0.910 | $2.2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | sell | 2.87 | $0.880 | $2.53 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | sell | 2.84 | $0.901 | $2.56 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 8.03 | $0.320 | $2.57 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.780 | $2.96 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | sell | 4.26 | $0.820 | $3.49 | Mar 25, 2026 |
US x China Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 4.01 | $0.880 | $3.53 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.900 | $3.53 | Mar 25, 2026 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 4.17 | $0.850 | $3.54 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 4.35 | $0.840 | $3.65 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | sell | 4.46 | $0.830 | $3.7 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 4.62 | $0.906 | $4.19 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 5.35 | $0.790 | $4.23 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No | sell | 4.58 | $0.927 | $4.25 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?Yes | sell | 4.8 | $0.930 | $4.46 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 6.13 | $0.770 | $4.72 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 5.6 | $0.850 | $4.76 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.880 | $4.91 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.957 | $5.03 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.75 | $0.915 | $5.26 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?No | sell | 5.84 | $0.956 | $5.58 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 7.46 | $0.800 | $5.97 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | sell | 6.54 | $0.913 | $5.97 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.29 | $0.990 | $6.23 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.56 | $0.860 | $6.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 6.85 | $0.953 | $6.53 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 8.12 | $0.800 | $6.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 18.83 | $0.350 | $6.59 | Mar 25, 2026 |