Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 20% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 216 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65% on 9 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 29.5% on 4 Jan 2026. $370.64K traded over the market's life.
238 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 216 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 20.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.7% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30
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Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
