Analytics
Yes is at 3.9%, down 22 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 324 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (36 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 33% on 13 Jan 2026 and the lowest 3.8% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.7%; a month before, 7%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 29.5% on 23 Mar 2026.
$73.28K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.3K, with a 3.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $847.8 bought Yes and $12.65K bought No.
The largest Yes position is CryptoAddict with 637 shares; the largest No position is memik with 836. Ten wallets hold 68.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 324 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 25.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| memik | No | 836.09 |
| CryptoAddict | Yes | 636.66 |
| KrdRL | No | 329.1 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ahmed-al-sharaa-out-as-leader-of-syria-before-2027
| kuf3 |
| Yes |
| 310.88 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 253.01 |
| AztecaBull | No | 215.96 |
| archaic | No | 204.35 |
| Breakable-Crystallography | Yes | 165.68 |
| Notable-Median | Yes | 132.01 |
| Speedy-Cephalopod | Yes | 125.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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