Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.92K | $0.649 | $1.8K | +$548.7 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 159.57 | $0.940 | $150 | 6d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.25K |
| $0.801 |
| $1.19K |
| +$191.36 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.17K | $0.927 | $1.15K | +$65.1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1K | $0.905 | $1.02K | +$21.45 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 700 | $0.956 | $684.6 | +$15.5 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.840 | $496.5 | +$76.5 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 440.17 | $0.952 | $418.38 | -$0.54 |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | No | 419.97 | $0.931 | $401.28 | +$10.33 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 348.48 | $0.574 | $325.83 | +$125.83 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 304.63 | $0.956 | $294.42 | +$3.2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 281.69 | $0.710 | $240.85 | +$40.85 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 227.27 | $0.880 | $214.77 | +$14.77 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 209.22 | $0.956 | $207.44 | +$7.44 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | No | 215.96 | $0.926 | $204.08 | +$4.08 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 212.54 | $0.941 | $202.98 | +$2.98 |
 KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | No | 120.48 | $0.830 | $113.07 | +$13.07 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 116.28 | $0.860 | $109.3 | +$9.3 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 100 | $0.799 | $94 | +$14.1 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.780 | $84.64 | +$6.65 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 230 | $0.880 | $17.37 | -$185.15 |
| buy |
| 212.54 |
| $0.941 |
| $200 |
| 6d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 57.45 | $0.940 | $54 | 12d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 30.86 | $0.969 | $29.9 | 12d ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 252.13 | $0.952 | $240 | 12d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 430.11 | $0.930 | $400 | 12d ago |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.971 | $6.98 | 26d ago |
 Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.89 | $0.972 | $100 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 206.19 | $0.970 | $200 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 215.96 | $0.926 | $200 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.952 | $95.19 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 35.67 | $0.981 | $35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 209.22 | $0.956 | $200 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.985 | $197 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?No | buy | 121.26 | $0.985 | $119.44 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?No | buy | 15.76 | $0.952 | $15 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.960 | $200 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 99.88 | $0.934 | $93.29 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.929 | $18.67 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.928 | $54.75 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.957 | $95.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.956 | $382.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 304.63 | $0.956 | $291.23 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 100 | $0.799 | $79.9 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.884 | $26.52 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.840 | $420 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 224.72 | $0.890 | $200 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.940 | $200 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 449.44 | $0.890 | $400 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.680 | $24 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 209.91 | $0.953 | $200 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 68.83 | $0.770 | $53 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 129.73 | $0.925 | $120 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 184.86 | $0.990 | $183.01 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 89.26 | $0.336 | $30 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 91.56 | $0.330 | $30.21 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 145.63 | $0.687 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 369.72 | $0.990 | $366.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 64.94 | $0.770 | $50 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 189.83 | $0.527 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 141.08 | $0.354 | $50 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 202.7 | $0.990 | $200.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 194.24 | $0.660 | $128.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 129.66 | $0.989 | $128.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 80.63 | $0.775 | $62.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 232.84 | $0.429 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | sell | 161.29 | $0.994 | $160.36 | Jun 13, 2026 |