Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 12% on 16 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 131 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2025 to 27 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.7% on 23 Mar 2026 and the lowest 3.3% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 69.7% on 16 Mar 2026. $463.58K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 28, 5:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 131 points, 16 Nov 2025 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 | 12.0% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 93.86K |
| anolg | No | 2.49K |
| steamrolling | No | 2K |
The 2026 Lyon municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Lyon, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-lyon-mayoral-election
| No |
| 1.88K |
| Olrefand2 | No | 1.82K |
| ACara | No | 1.75K |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 1.46K |
| armand | No | 600 |
| Benjouille37 | No | 476.19 |
| Trashbag | No | 442.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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