Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12% on 4 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 167 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.5% on 11 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 37.5% on 1 Mar 2026. $6.62M traded over the market's life.
750 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 167 points, 4 Jan 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | 12.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Striped-Pressroom | Yes | 157.88K |
| Fabulous-Eponym | Yes | 150K |
| TheQuietRisk | Yes | 137.86K |
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| BiBi-.- | Yes | 65.35K |
| Better-Ford | Yes | 60.28K |
| Bradking | Yes | 28.66K |
| goldeye | Yes | 26.9K |
| shfa | Yes | 18.68K |
| CVNK | Yes | 15.56K |
| Jameshd | Yes | 12.61K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
