What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 40.5¢ and No at 59.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 40.5% for Yes and 59.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($15.58K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($35.44K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 53 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 77.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 29, 11:20 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/next-senate-majority-leader-485) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Odds

Market referencewill-chuck-schumer-be-the-next-senate-majority-leaderUpdated 1m ago

politicsActive

Closes Jul 1, 2027 UTCsenate-electionselections

Yes

40.5%

59.5%

Buy Yes 40.5¢Buy No 59.5¢

24h Volume

$15.6K

Liquidity

$35.4K

Closes

Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

40.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

40.5%

59.5%

24h volume

$15.58K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 40.5¢

Open in terminal$15.58K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

4m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

1.0%

Observed

1m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

40.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

78%

Yes / No shares

5.09K / 5.09K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

315

Wallets

114

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.36K	0.0%	$0
Rr55	Yes	1.07K	34.8%	$1.07K	Sep 18, 12:32 PM UTC

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Next Senate Majority Leader?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 40.5¢ and No at 59.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 40.5% for Yes and 59.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($15.58K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($35.44K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

Indigo Signal 2966

3.36K

0.0%

Rr55

Yes

1.07K

34.8%

$1.07K

Sep 18, 12:32 PM UTC

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$2K
Rr55	$434.08
LarBotPrime	$337.25
Txetg	$262.77
valmier	$179.79
ScottyNooo	$176.92
Isengard1	$175.38
bernardbulletin	$175.17
Bikesarethebest	$145.9
lieberallein	$144.51
Razirback	$135.63
Offbeat-Injoke	$121.5