Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 13.48 | $0.964 | $13.07 | +$0.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | sell | 4.58 | $0.860 | $3.94 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.94 |
| $0.580 |
| $7.44 |
| +$1.09 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 9.29 | $0.734 | $7.34 | +$0.52 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 7.95 | $0.851 | $7.19 | +$0.43 |
 Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | No | 7.12 | $0.821 | $7.07 | +$1.22 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026? | No | 7.23 | $0.949 | $7.02 | +$0.16 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? | No | 8.36 | $0.850 | $6.98 | -$0.13 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 9.89 | $0.700 | $6.97 | +$0.05 |
 Will James Graf win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election? | No | 7.12 | $0.902 | $6.94 | +$0.52 |
 Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | No | 7.57 | $0.911 | $6.83 | -$0.06 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-02 House seat? | No | 7.13 | $0.960 | $6.81 | -$0.04 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | No | 7.52 | $0.880 | $6.81 | +$0.19 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WI-03 House seat? | No | 9.25 | $0.770 | $6.66 | -$0.46 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 11.76 | $0.660 | $6.64 | -$1.12 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WI-02 House seat? | No | 6.54 | $0.958 | $6.51 | +$0.25 |
 Will Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series? | No | 7.1 | $0.894 | $6.47 | +$0.12 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 6.66 | $0.952 | $6.44 | +$0.1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? | No | 7.83 | $0.730 | $6.42 | +$0.7 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? | No | 6.57 | $0.900 | $6.42 | +$0.5 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 6.72 | $0.920 | $6.38 | +$0.2 |
 Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? | No | 6.6 | $0.872 | $6.18 | +$0.42 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 6.45 | $0.910 | $6.16 | +$0.29 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 9.9 | $0.590 | $6.09 | +$0.25 |
 Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? | No | 6.71 | $0.850 | $6.07 | +$0.37 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat? | No | 6.31 | $0.960 | $6.03 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 7.13 |
| $0.960 |
| $6.84 |
| 8d ago |
| Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?No | buy | 6.6 | $0.872 | $5.76 | 8d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.700 | $6.92 | 8d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.960 | $6.06 | 8d ago |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?No | sell | 4.55 | $0.640 | $2.91 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.840 | $0.19 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.846 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No | buy | 7.99 | $0.840 | $6.71 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 7.31 | $0.974 | $7.12 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 6.37 | $0.920 | $5.86 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.610 | $3.04 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.690 | $0.02 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?No | sell | 5.85 | $0.965 | $5.65 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?No | sell | 9.81 | $0.430 | $4.22 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?No | sell | 6.3 | $0.640 | $4.03 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 7.43 | $0.810 | $6.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | sell | 7.3 | $0.900 | $6.57 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | sell | 9.71 | $0.690 | $6.7 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 6.9 | $0.944 | $6.51 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.810 | $6.08 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 11.15 | $0.610 | $6.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-31 House seat?No | sell | 7.31 | $0.820 | $5.99 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 10.25 | $0.650 | $6.66 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?No | sell | 7.49 | $0.940 | $7.04 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.06 | $0.770 | $7.75 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 7.82 | $0.920 | $7.19 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | sell | 7.59 | $0.860 | $6.53 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?No | sell | 8.66 | $0.770 | $6.67 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | sell | 9.91 | $0.540 | $5.35 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 6.36 | $0.857 | $5.45 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?No | sell | 11.07 | $0.590 | $6.53 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?No | sell | 6.22 | $0.961 | $5.98 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Diana Onyeijaka be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?No | sell | 6.11 | $0.850 | $5.19 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.682 | $4.11 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.832 | $6.24 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 10.11 | $0.750 | $7.58 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 6.81 | $0.930 | $6.33 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | sell | 8.3 | $0.810 | $6.72 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No | sell | 7.89 | $0.965 | $7.61 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?No | sell | 7 | $0.700 | $4.9 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 10.65 | $0.390 | $4.15 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 9.07 | $0.780 | $7.07 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?No | sell | 11.53 | $0.550 | $6.34 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 7.38 | $0.850 | $6.27 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 8.09 | $0.830 | $6.71 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 10.61 | $0.590 | $6.26 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 8.16 | $0.874 | $7.13 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 10.53 | $0.750 | $7.9 | Jul 6, 2026 |