Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.690 | $52.5 | -$16.5 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 20.63 | $0.590 | $12.17 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 49.98 |
| $0.550 |
| $49.23 |
| +$21.74 |
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.260 | $46.75 | +$33.75 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.600 | $46.75 | +$16.75 |
 Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.855 | $45.45 | +$2.7 |
 Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 45 | $0.760 | $44.64 | +$10.44 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 50.01 | $0.520 | $44.01 | +$18 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.840 | $41.25 | -$0.75 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 39.41 | $0.710 | $37.24 | +$9.26 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | Yes | 55.2 | $0.683 | $36.98 | -$0.71 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 50 | $0.550 | $35.75 | +$8.25 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat? | No | 39 | $0.890 | $32.37 | -$2.34 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.910 | $29.04 | +$1.74 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.840 | $19.37 | +$2.57 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.880 | $18.1 | +$0.5 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 20.28 | $0.800 | $16.73 | +$0.5 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | Yes | 20 | $0.310 | $15 | +$8.8 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.400 | $14.25 | -$5.75 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.060 | $13.2 | +$7.2 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 13.22 | $0.600 | $11.04 | +$3.11 |
 Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? | Yes | 20 | $0.590 | $9.5 | -$2.3 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | No | 91.24 | $0.860 | $7.76 | -$70.71 |
 Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | No | 11.1 | $0.610 | $7.27 | +$0.5 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.510 | $6.4 | -$3.8 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 37.89 | $0.441 | $6.25 | -$10.46 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.918 |
| $45.91 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.860 | $1.01 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | sell | 55.38 | $0.110 | $6.09 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.1 | $0.010 | $0.06 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.85 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?No | sell | 30 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.860 | $12.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 30.87 | $0.710 | $21.92 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.021 | $2.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 10.54 | $0.580 | $6.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.240 | $0.65 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 1.43 | $0.330 | $0.47 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No | sell | 4.14 | $0.860 | $3.56 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 15.08 | $0.380 | $5.73 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.015 | $0.3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 20 | $0.922 | $18.44 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.230 | $5.75 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes | sell | 39.77 | $0.896 | $35.61 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 48.9 | $0.920 | $44.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.873 | $43.64 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No | sell | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.884 | $44.2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.012 | $0.56 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 79.92 | $0.200 | $15.97 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 98.64 | $0.473 | $46.66 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.656 | $62.94 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 25.14 | $0.110 | $2.77 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.166 | $16.56 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 114.12 | $0.390 | $44.51 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | sell | 171.81 | $0.063 | $10.81 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.044 | $8.76 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.021 | $4.2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 200 | $0.995 | $199 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 289.23 | $0.250 | $72.31 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.860 | $258 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No | sell | 341.35 | $0.867 | $295.8 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 456.43 | $0.710 | $324.07 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 801 | $0.663 | $530.94 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 995.62 | $0.398 | $396.26 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.598 | $639.48 | Apr 24, 2026 |