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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | No | 1.52K | $0.829 | $1.33K | +$69.53 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | sell | 199.98 | $0.840 | $167.98 | 10h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.03K |
| $0.840 |
| $886.63 |
| +$25.63 |
 Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | No | 1.2K | $0.709 | $858 | +$7.2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | Yes | 1.14K | $0.701 | $780.26 | -$17.94 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1.05K | $0.629 | $757.44 | +$95.72 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.54K | $0.309 | $652.25 | +$177.51 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | No | 413.29 | $0.305 | $270.7 | +$144.46 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 1.31K | $0.219 | $255.75 | -$32.08 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 377.96 | $0.587 | $228.67 | +$6.78 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.140 | $174 | +$6 |
 Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | No | 179.99 | $0.860 | $161.09 | +$6.3 |
 Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 433.04 | $0.384 | $147.23 | -$19.25 |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30? | No | 147.31 | $0.750 | $123.74 | +$13.26 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 250 | $0.510 | $120 | -$7.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? | Yes | 449.99 | $0.270 | $112.5 | -$9 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 150 | $0.640 | $110.25 | +$14.25 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 188.02 | $0.526 | $93.07 | -$5.82 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 300.03 | $0.320 | $88.51 | -$7.5 |
 Will Andy Burnham say "King" or "Queen" during the next PMQ? | No | 105 | $0.674 | $85.58 | +$14.78 |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Friend" 7+ times during the next PMQ? | Yes | 80 | $0.810 | $69.6 | +$4.8 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | Yes | 948.29 | $0.048 | $42.67 | -$3.26 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%? | No | 51.32 | $0.810 | $42.6 | +$1.03 |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ? | Yes | 43.9 | $0.831 | $41.27 | +$4.77 |
 Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | Yes | 63 | $0.520 | $34.34 | +$1.58 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election? | Yes | 40 | $0.525 | $21.4 | +$0.4 |
| sell |
| 394.91 |
| $0.370 |
| $146.12 |
| 11h ago |
| Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?No | sell | 150 | $0.870 | $130.5 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.609 | $73.1 | 12h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 65.78 | $0.400 | $26.31 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.430 | $64.5 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 153.43 | $0.420 | $64.44 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 257.96 | $0.577 | $148.79 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.361 | $54.1 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.320 | $48 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | sell | 60.93 | $0.730 | $44.48 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 60.27 | $0.420 | $25.31 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 196.22 | $0.430 | $84.37 | 14h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "King" or "Queen" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 45 | $0.640 | $28.8 | 18h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.700 | $350 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?No | buy | 21 | $0.520 | $10.92 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.525 | $21 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 382.7 | $0.310 | $118.64 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.39 | $0.300 | $0.12 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 480 | $0.700 | $336 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 178.49 | $0.320 | $57.12 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.460 | $82.8 | 3d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.820 | $27.8 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.500 | $75 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.498 | $99.52 | 4d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.460 | $138 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.390 | $97.5 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 200 | $0.461 | $92.1 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 382.64 | $0.300 | $114.79 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 389 | $0.300 | $116.7 | 4d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.320 | $96 | 4d ago |
 Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 137.42 | $0.980 | $134.66 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.400 | $160 | 4d ago |
| Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.709 | $850.8 | 5d ago |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.540 | $43.2 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | 6d ago |
| Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.520 | $32.76 | 6d ago |
 Will Marie-Josée Morency win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.650 | $1.27 | 6d ago |
| Will Marie-Josée Morency win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?No | buy | 181.96 | $0.704 | $128.06 | 6d ago |
| Will Marie-Josée Morency win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.260 | $46.8 | 6d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?No | buy | 24.75 | $0.980 | $24.26 | 6d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?No | buy | 76.5 | $0.910 | $69.62 | 6d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Ukraine" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 206 | $0.260 | $53.5 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.015 | $46.14 | 7d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Police" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 40 | $0.350 | $14 | 7d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?No | buy | 40 | $0.320 | $12.8 | 7d ago |