Analytics
Yes is at 18.5%, down 27 points from 45% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 108 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 3 Aug 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 20 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 34%; a month before, 22.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 21.5% on 10 Jul 2026.
7 ranks second of the 5 outcomes in “How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?”. 6 leads at 77%; 8 is at 3.8%.
$84.16 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $14.07K since listing. The order book holds $11.82K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $969.1 bought Yes and $2.56K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 468 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 89.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 108 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 45.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 18.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.22K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 468.35 |
| whig | Yes | 343.59 |
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-uk-parliamentary-by-elections-in-2026-20260708164636512
| ogi250 |
| Yes |
| 281 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 213.8 |
| haouibao | Yes | 210 |
| burge146 | Yes | 202.83 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 160 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 115 |
| Different-Gas | Yes | 71.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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