Analytics
Yes is at 1%, down 44 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 109 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 14 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.7%; a month before, 1.5%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 3.5% on 10 Jul 2026.
9 ranks third of the 5 outcomes in “How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?”. 6 leads at 67.5%; 7 is at 29.5%.
$64 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.33K since listing. The order book holds $10.92K, with a 1.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 188 trades, $17.52 bought Yes and $1.23K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 674 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.3K. Ten wallets hold 88.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 44.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.26K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 674.39 |
| haouibao | Yes | 210 |
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-uk-parliamentary-by-elections-in-2026-20260708164636512
| SuperTests |
| Yes |
| 167 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 160 |
| Artaius | Yes | 152.45 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 115 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 99.99 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 81.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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