Analytics
Yes is at 0.7%, down 44 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 106 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.7%; a month before, 1.8%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 2.9% on 10 Jul 2026.
10+ ranks fourth of the 5 outcomes in “How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?”. 6 leads at 69.5%; 7 is at 26%.
$92 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.98K since listing. The order book holds $11.86K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 190 trades, $20.06 bought Yes and $1.55K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 606 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.3K. Ten wallets hold 86.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 106 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 44.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.29K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 605.67 |
| WatermelonFelon | Yes | 287.63 |
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-uk-parliamentary-by-elections-in-2026-20260708164636512
| haouibao | Yes | 210 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 160 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 115 |
| Different-Gas | Yes | 112.64 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 103 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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