Analytics
Yes is at 2.9%, down 42 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 108 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.6%; a month before, 4.8%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 13% on 10 Jul 2026.
8 ranks third of the 5 outcomes in “How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?”. 6 leads at 77%; 7 is at 19.5%.
$40 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.62K since listing. The order book holds $13.55K, with a 4.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 230 trades, $195.23 bought Yes and $1.06K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 656 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 88.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 108 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 44.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.22K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 655.99 |
| AiBird | Yes | 226.06 |
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-uk-parliamentary-by-elections-in-2026-20260708164636512
| haouibao |
| Yes |
| 210 |
| gurenus | Yes | 169.15 |
| ydxistheking | Yes | 166 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 160 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 144.9 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 115 |
| Different-Gas | Yes | 76.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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