Latest trade
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 1:59 AM UTC.
Analytics
gurenus is down $3.35K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 1:59 AM UTC.
$5.59 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 221 markets; 61.0% were buys. They run from Jun 14, 2026 UTC to Oct 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31? | No | 51.72 | $0.290 | $34.4 | +$19.4 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Yes | sell | 57.07 | $0.988 | $56.36 | 7h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 22:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
18 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 01:59 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 01:59 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 22:57 UTC
Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $857.5 and losing ones cost $108.3 across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $543.93 on “Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $13.2 on “US x China tariff agreement by September 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Oct 2026. It has traded 713 markets. Its open positions are worth $157.16 across 18 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 150 |
| $0.130 |
| $20.25 |
| +$0.75 |
 US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? | No | 18.38 | $0.816 | $17.09 | +$2.09 |
 Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Qatar by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 306.05 | $0.007 | $14.23 | +$12.18 |
 Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 47.6 | $0.194 | $9.28 | +$0.06 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | Yes | 272.14 | $0.051 | $7.48 | -$6.32 |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 65.09 | $0.047 | $7.26 | +$4.2 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 125 | $0.136 | $6.88 | -$10.13 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | No | 29.99 | $0.150 | $6 | +$1.5 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 25 | $0.190 | $5.63 | +$0.88 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 234.28 | $0.079 | $5.62 | -$12.98 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.150 | $4.95 | +$0.45 |
 Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in India by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 263 | $0.003 | $4.6 | +$3.81 |
 Any G20 leader out in 2026? | Yes | 43.81 | $0.269 | $4.38 | -$7.42 |
 Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | Yes | 169.15 | $0.035 | $4.14 | -$1.78 |
 Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $3.21 | -$1.79 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | Yes | 247.01 | $0.010 | $1.61 | -$0.89 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.080 | $0.15 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 17.08 |
| $0.117 |
| $2 |
| 11h ago |
 Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 48.07 | $0.700 | $33.65 | 12h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.650 | $10.32 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 39.56 | $0.330 | $13.05 | 3d ago |
| Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Any G20 leader out in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?No | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | 3d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 19.95 | $0.501 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.500 | $9.43 | 3d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | 3d ago |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 126.25 | $0.056 | $7.13 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.78 | $0.080 | $0.78 | 3d ago |
 Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?Yes | sell | 21.63 | $0.220 | $4.76 | 4d ago |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 126.25 | $0.079 | $10 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.330 | $13.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?Yes | sell | 18.7 | $0.825 | $15.42 | 5d ago |
| Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?Yes | buy | 18.7 | $0.535 | $10 | 5d ago |
 Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.650 | $12.99 | 5d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | 6d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedow in Turkmenistan?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 7d ago |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Any G20 leader out in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | 8d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?No | sell | 161.11 | $0.002 | $0.32 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Qatar by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 43.05 | $0.023 | $1 | 9d ago |
| US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?No | buy | 18.38 | $0.816 | $15 | 9d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | 9d ago |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | sell | 105.45 | $0.390 | $41.13 | 9d ago |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 48.08 | $0.520 | $25 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No | sell | 26.82 | $0.750 | $20.12 | 11d ago |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | 11d ago |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?Yes | buy | 21.63 | $0.390 | $8.44 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 22.09 | $0.080 | $1.77 | 13d ago |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.160 | $9.6 | 13d ago |
 Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.99 | $0.640 | $25.59 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?No | sell | 34.68 | $0.003 | $0.1 | 14d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.110 | $6.88 | 14d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | 14d ago |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | 14d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?No | buy | 34.69 | $0.288 | $10 | 14d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.