Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 37%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 5 Oct 2026, the highest close was 69.5% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 26.5% on 4 Oct 2026. $50.13K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 3:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 5 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 41.5% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VFALL | No | 235 |
| friendlyusername | No | 187.34 |
| DNikolaou | No | 160.96 |
| AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee | No | 160 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces his pick to be AI czar by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-names-ai-czar-byptptpt
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | No | 151 |
| Mustafalafel | No | 111.65 |
| 20260601 | No | 99.58 |
| ragutwo | No | 98.63 |
| Tense-Swordfight | No | 94.95 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 94.38 |
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