Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 9 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 11 Oct 2026, the highest close was 29.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6% on 11 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 12.5% on 10 Oct 2026. $605.25 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 5:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 11 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 29.5% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Dirty-Burn | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin holds a bilateral meeting with the listed individual in Turkmenistan between market creation and October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Vladimir Putin is scheduled to visit Turkmenistan on October 8–9, 2026, including for the meeting of the CIS Council of Heads of State in Avaza on October 9. A bilateral meeting is a meeting between Putin and the listed individual, with or without their delegations, held separately from the summit's plenary, narrow-format, or expanded-format sessions and from other group events. Meetings described by official sources or credible reporting as bilateral talks, a one-on-one or tête-à-tête meeting, or a meeting on the sidelines of the summit will qualify. Brief exchanges, handshakes, informal conversations during or between group sessions, joint appearances at ceremonies, receptions, dinners, or other group events, and trilateral or multilateral meetings will not qualify. Phone or video calls will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from the Kremlin and the governments of the listed individuals; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-putin-meet-bilaterally-in-turkmenistan
| Yes |
| 10 |
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