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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 729.24 | $0.061 | $259.97 | +$215.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 7.01 | $0.660 | $4.63 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 356.82 |
| $0.308 |
| $121.32 |
| +$11.42 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 256.06 | $0.332 | $58.89 | -$26.11 |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | No | 22 | $0.450 | $17.6 | +$7.7 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 736.93 | $0.225 | $15.84 | -$149.91 |
 António Guterres out by December 31? | No | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10.93 | +$0.93 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10.66 | +$0.66 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 16.21 | $0.370 | $9.16 | +$3.16 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | No | 98.9 | $0.101 | $8.7 | -$1.3 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.58 | $0.760 | $6.02 | +$1.02 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 7.93 | $0.420 | $4 | +$0.67 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 769.23 | $0.013 | $1.92 | -$8.08 |
 Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.009 | $1.39 | -$3.61 |
| sell |
| 17.54 |
| $0.830 |
| $14.56 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 88.86 | $0.910 | $80.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.76 | $0.634 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 166.92 | $0.660 | $110.17 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.800 | $4.21 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No | buy | 98.9 | $0.101 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.940 | $14.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.667 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.977 | $15.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.060 | $1.02 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.240 | $4.08 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.240 | $2.5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.380 | $2.5 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 36.32 | $0.964 | $35.01 | May 26, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 21.03 | $0.380 | $8 | May 21, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.150 | $0.87 | May 21, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be below 80,000 voters?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.370 | $2.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.240 | $2.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.18 | $0.705 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 281.28 | $0.130 | $36.57 | May 14, 2026 |
 Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??No | sell | 197.89 | $0.001 | $0.2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | May 13, 2026 |
| Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??No | buy | 157.89 | $0.190 | $30 | May 13, 2026 |
| Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.150 | $10.05 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 18.23 | $0.260 | $4.74 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.240 | $4.08 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.060 | $1.02 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | May 11, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.902 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 9.69 | $0.260 | $2.52 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 4.85 | $0.260 | $1.26 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | May 10, 2026 |