Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 47 points from 50% when the market opened on 24 Mar 2026.
The high was 50% on 24 Mar 2026 and the low 1.1% on 1 May 2026. A week ago Yes was at 5.6%; a month ago, 3.1%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5.5% on 25 Mar 2026.
Tom Cotton ranks fifth of the 11 outcomes in “Next Senate Majority Leader?”. Chuck Schumer leads at 53.5%; John Thune is at 24.5%.
$9.16 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.2K since listing. The order book holds $28.23K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 176 trades, $95.63 bought Yes and $733.25 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Gohst with 2.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.4K. Ten wallets hold 94.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 16 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 19, 11:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 189 points, 24 Mar 2026 – 19 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 3.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.36K |
| Gohst | Yes | 2.25K |
| Offbeat-Injoke | Yes | 400 |
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-senate-majority-leader-485
| andy29 |
| No |
| 249.14 |
| AJSV | Yes | 177.19 |
| win-at-all-cost | Yes | 163.1 |
| Rr55 | Yes | 147.45 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 102.21 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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