Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 24 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 98 daily closes on record from 24 Mar 2026 to 12 Jul 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 24 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 14 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 7.3% on 25 Mar 2026. $55.1K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 6:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 98 points, 24 Mar 2026 – 12 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| huyewell | Yes | 23.37K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 8K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.38K |
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-senate-majority-leader-485
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| wing1234 | Yes | 651.43 |
| akko123 | Yes | 500 |
| 2kparabellum | Yes | 300 |
| pestanimal | Yes | 100 |
| fang1957 | Yes | 80 |
| Indigo Tide 215D | Yes | 33.2 |
| Swift Raven 390A | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
