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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 740 | $0.832 | $606.06 | -$9.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.239 | $1.19 | 21d ago |
| No |
| 600 |
| $0.825 |
| $513 |
| +$18 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.791 | $400 | +$4.6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 436.52 | $0.805 | $355.76 | +$4.18 |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 330 | $0.851 | $282.15 | +$1.48 |
 Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.893 | $282 | +$14 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 319.98 | $0.729 | $227.18 | -$6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.915 | $187 | +$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.920 | $185 | +$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 500 | $0.204 | $177.5 | +$75.63 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.825 | $172 | +$7 |
 Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $96.95 | +$6.95 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.885 | $96.25 | +$7.75 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.917 | $96.15 | +$4.45 |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.910 | $96.05 | +$5.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $93.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.790 | $92.5 | +$13.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.790 | $92.5 | +$13.5 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 197.79 | $0.103 | $88.02 | +$67.55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.840 | $86.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? | Yes | 86.24 | $0.840 | $79.77 | +$7.33 |
 Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 200 | $0.016 | $68 | +$64.88 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.810 | $65.2 | +$0.4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 64.07 | $0.860 | $59.26 | +$4.16 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 13.54K | $0.196 | $47.39 | -$2.61K |
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.249 |
| $1.25 |
| 21d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | 24d ago |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No | buy | 40 | $0.832 | $33.28 | 24d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 7.5 | $0.021 | $0.16 | 29d ago |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No | buy | 40 | $0.760 | $30.4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.975 | $48.75 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.96 | $0.009 | $0.45 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No | buy | 59.39 | $0.832 | $49.44 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | buy | 22.71 | $0.810 | $18.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.810 | $4.26 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.030 | $0.57 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5Under | sell | 50 | $0.823 | $41.13 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Over | sell | 100 | $0.675 | $67.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | May 6, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 100 | $0.018 | $1.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 12 | $0.022 | $0.26 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | sell | 82.16 | $0.010 | $0.82 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.011 | $0.11 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | sell | 117.8 | $0.010 | $1.18 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 50.56 | $0.071 | $3.59 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 49.43 | $0.077 | $3.81 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.023 | $0.58 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.015 | $0.15 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.024 | $0.12 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 500 | $0.480 | $240 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 400 | $0.928 | $371.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 97.25 | $0.997 | $96.96 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 86.24 | $0.480 | $41.4 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 678.34 | $0.490 | $332.39 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 500 | $0.922 | $461 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader?No | buy | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 1K | $0.160 | $160 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 2.5K | $0.160 | $400 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 71.35 | $0.160 | $11.42 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 800 | $0.160 | $128 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 500.44 | $0.160 | $80.07 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 2K | $0.160 | $320 | Mar 13, 2026 |