Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | No | 130 | $0.976 | $129.03 | +$2.15 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 90 | $0.966 | $86.94 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 110 |
| $0.880 |
| $105.77 |
| +$8.97 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $97.2 | +$2.2 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $96.05 | +$6.05 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 70 | $0.993 | $69.9 | +$0.39 |
 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 66 | $0.992 | $65.97 | +$0.5 |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 53 | $0.992 | $52.97 | +$0.4 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.970 | $29.51 | +$0.41 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 25 | $0.990 | $24.86 | +$0.11 |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe | No | 24 | $0.968 | $23.46 | +$0.24 |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 23 | $0.960 | $22.48 | +$0.4 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 16 | $0.920 | $15.62 | +$0.9 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.953 | $3.23 | -$44.43 |
| buy |
| 38 |
| $0.994 |
| $37.77 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?No | buy | 60 | $0.998 | $59.88 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No | buy | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 70 | $0.993 | $69.51 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 66 | $0.992 | $65.47 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 53 | $0.992 | $52.58 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.999 | $11.99 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Variational launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.998 | $21.96 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.970 | $29.1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?No | buy | 23 | $0.997 | $22.93 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 11.55 | $0.999 | $11.54 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 13 | $0.979 | $12.73 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?No | buy | 37.89 | $0.997 | $37.78 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.998 | $54.89 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 21.55 | $0.998 | $21.51 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 33.5 | $0.998 | $33.43 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?No | buy | 35.55 | $0.998 | $35.48 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.998 | $26.95 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 35 | $0.997 | $34.9 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 9.59K | $0.001 | $9.59 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.992 | $19.84 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?No | sell | 10.59 | $0.994 | $10.53 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 40.12 | $0.996 | $39.96 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Unit launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 19 | $0.963 | $18.3 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump jail Elon Musk?No | buy | 20 | $0.983 | $19.66 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | buy | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No | buy | 23.66 | $0.997 | $23.59 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will another team win the Bundesliga?No | buy | 23 | $0.999 | $22.98 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 94 | $0.950 | $89.3 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20.04 | $0.950 | $19.04 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?No | buy | 20.33 | $0.998 | $20.29 | Sep 15, 2024 |