Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 311 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 15% on 4 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 11.5% on 19 May 2025. $450.38K traded over the market's life.
177 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 311 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 11.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is forced to liquidate any of its Bitcoin holdings/positions by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, due to lender action or other external financial obligations beyond its control. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Forced liquidation is defined as the sale of Bitcoin by MicroStrategy or a lender as a direct result of a contractual obligation, such as a loan default, an unfulfilled margin call, or legal/regulatory enforcement requiring the company to sell. Voluntary Bitcoin sales, proactive debt repayments, or discretionary asset reallocation will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-forced-to-liquidate-bitcoin-holdings-in-2025
| blokol | Yes | 4.75K |
| SolMaverick | Yes | 4.35K |
| Sermie | Yes | 4.05K |
| Nickilista | Yes | 2.51K |
| tutunuru | Yes | 1.99K |
| Keen Quasar EF35 | Yes | 1.97K |
| Yo7016 | Yes | 1.69K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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