Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.260 | $65 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.18K |
| $0.002 |
| $2.35 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes | sell | 317.77 | $0.014 | $4.45 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.049 | $10.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.080 | $17.78 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.009 | $15 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.051 | $6.83 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $8.00 end of December?Yes | sell | 647.86 | $0.007 | $4.6 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | sell | 570.92 | $0.002 | $1.34 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 GPT ads by December 31?Yes | sell | 558.27 | $0.003 | $1.74 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $8.00 end of December?Yes | buy | 647.86 | $0.054 | $35 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | buy | 720 | $0.069 | $50 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?Yes | buy | 165.99 | $0.120 | $20 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?Yes | buy | 410.63 | $0.049 | $20 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 276.42 | $0.072 | $20 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.727 | $165.14 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2025 Extremadura regional election?Yes | buy | 324.48 | $0.028 | $9 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 135.33 | $0.148 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 299.88 | $0.067 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 560.24 | $0.036 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 160.9 | $0.124 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 165.05 | $0.121 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Crypto" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Yes | buy | 111.97 | $0.179 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Yes | buy | 121.55 | $0.165 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | buy | 127.13 | $0.157 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.017 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.010 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?Yes | sell | 553.52 | $0.558 | $308.84 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 857.14 | $0.007 | $6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 570.92 | $0.025 | $14 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 4.63K | $0.022 | $100 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Yes | buy | 290.21 | $0.034 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes | buy | 317.78 | $0.031 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Luigi Mangione plea deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.05 | $0.111 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 240.48 | $0.042 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Is John McAfee alive?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.014 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?Yes | buy | 553.53 | $0.036 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 347.6 | $0.058 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 535.43 | $0.037 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?Yes | buy | 897.67 | $0.028 | $25 | Dec 3, 2025 |