Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 22 Dec 2025, the highest close was 24.5% on 13 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 5.5% on 14 Dec 2025. $8.75K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 23, 4:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 22 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 24.5% |
| 22 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.2K |
| zonh | Yes | 999.9 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elections for the autonomous community of Extremadura’s unicameral assembly are scheduled for December 21, 2025. This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Assembly of Extremadura (Asamblea de Extremadura) as a result of this election. If voting in the next election for the Assembly of Extremadura does not occur by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition. In the case of a tie between this party/coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party/coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If a listed coalition splits into individual parties prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Assembly of Extremadura at the time of the split. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/extremadura-regional-election-winner
| Yes |
| 372.99 |
| tutunuru | Yes | 324.48 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 314 |
| frened | Yes | 250 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 220 |
| Leeuwen | Yes | 182.06 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 147 |
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