Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 24% on 8 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 22.5% on 7 Dec 2025. $442.96K traded over the market's life.
245 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 14.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anjin987 | Yes | 17.04K |
| AllByMyseIf | Yes | 6.02K |
| asdasd123fd | Yes | 5.36K |
| Murky-Abnormality | Yes | 3.31K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Cloudflare may classify as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-critical-cloudflare-incident-by
| jjjtesty | Yes | 2.16K |
| funding | Yes | 2K |
| gopfan2 | Yes | 1.72K |
| ClownPagliacci | Yes | 1.17K |
| Raven420 | Yes | 1.16K |
| Player2088 | Yes | 1.12K |
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