Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.9% on 25 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 343 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 11.8% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 11.8% on 8 Oct 2025. $134.67K traded over the market's life.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 343 points, 25 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | 4.9% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that former presidential candidate John McAfee is still alive between January 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/is-john-mcafee-alive-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| tutunuru | Yes | 1.42K |
| for-the-lulz | Yes | 700 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 450 |
| kamarat | Yes | 300 |
| Spanish-Sloth | Yes | 250 |
| boro09 | Yes | 209.58 |
| Loose-Pantry | Yes | 201.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
