Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 10% on 22 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 315 daily closes on record from 22 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 10.5% on 24 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $111.38K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 315 points, 22 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2025 | 10.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by Bybit, official representatives of Bybit (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that Bybit is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bybit-insolvent-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| meplov | Yes | 634.55 |
| canyonboy | Yes | 500 |
| Matheos | Yes | 499.98 |
| airhab | Yes | 491.73 |
| ariaor | Yes | 275.82 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 189.92 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 149.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
