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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.110 | $230 | +$10 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 854.13 | $0.015 | $12.81 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.21K |
| $0.057 |
| $208.25 |
| -$85.94 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.52K | $0.098 | $189 | -$57.8 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 3.41K | $0.059 | $165.49 | -$37.63 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 536.98 | $0.090 | $36.25 | -$12.08 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.41K | $0.028 | $19.83 | -$105.45 |
| buy |
| 1.21K |
| $0.060 |
| $72.73 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 581.78 | $0.039 | $22.69 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.060 | $120 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 51.78 | $0.386 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.74K | $0.008 | $37.9 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.010 | $17.92 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 597.21 | $0.066 | $39.42 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.033 | $55.1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 149.12 | $0.016 | $2.39 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 217.3 | $0.046 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 223.88 | $0.067 | $15 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.038 | $3.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.033 | $3.68 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Nigeria next?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Mexico next?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Nigeria next?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Venezuela next?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes | buy | 161.34 | $0.055 | $8.87 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes | buy | 67.77 | $0.054 | $3.66 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.005 | $0.5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.007 | $13.07 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.88K | $0.003 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.008 | $12 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.010 | $11.01 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 19.5K | $0.001 | $19.5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 5.8K | $0.005 | $29 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 6.91K | $0.005 | $34.54 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.020 | $14 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 191.73 | $0.026 | $4.98 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 283 | $0.040 | $11.32 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.89K | $0.004 | $35.55 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 232 | $0.044 | $10.21 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?Yes | buy | 263 | $0.023 | $6.05 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 309.36 | $0.039 | $12.06 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.28K | $0.006 | $31.67 | Nov 15, 2025 |