Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11% on 13 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 324 daily closes on record from 13 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 17% on 24 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 13% on 23 Apr 2025. $212.16K traded over the market's life.
119 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 324 points, 13 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2025 | 11.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This is a market on whether the market capitalization of Solana (SOL) will surpass that of Ethereum (ETH) within this market's timeframe, according to CoinGecko. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum respectively. This market's timeframe spans from February 12, 2025, 10:00 AM ET, to December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). This market will resolve to "Yes" if at any point within this market's timeframe SOL has a greater market cap than ETH according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data through January 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sol-flip-eth-in-2025
| TribeV | Yes | 783.47 |
| mingli | Yes | 594.45 |
| zambini | Yes | 534.89 |
| Cosmic Voyager 823F | Yes | 475 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 388.98 |
| qwessd | No | 375.6 |
| power1337 | Yes | 207.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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