Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 13 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 2% on 18 Sep 2025 and the low 0.1% on 27 Nov 2025. $8.7M traded over the market's life.
132 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 111 points · 13 Sep 2025 – 31 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | 0.5% |
| 31 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 897.78K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 74.69K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 70.45K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
qqThis is a negrisk market group over which will be the top AI model on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 33.04K |
| hii12 | Yes | 32.38K |
| aureli | Yes | 21.55K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 14.85K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 8.35K |
| shine | Yes | 7.73K |
| NoMoreMister | Yes | 6.9K |
