Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 13.25 | $0.830 | $12.81 | +$1.81 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 13.25 |
| $0.830 |
| $11 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.901 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.984 | $1.19 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.957 | $1.01 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.966 | $1.15 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.963 | $2 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 12.21 | $0.985 | $12.03 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.909 | $2 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.995 | $10.3 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.410 | $0.65 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Oracle buy TikTok?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 26, 2025 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 26, 2025 |
 Ripple above $2.10 on April 11?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Dogecoin above $0.17 on April 11?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.975 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.820 | $1.2 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Mahamat Déby out as President of Chad in January?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.890 | $1.1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 USD worth more than Euro before 2025?No | buy | 0.82 | $0.976 | $0.8 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.640 | $1.34 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.390 | $0.5 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Rabby airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.930 | $0.2 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Astaria airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.924 | $0.2 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?No | buy | 0.54 | $0.930 | $0.5 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Annual inflation under 3% in August?Yes | buy | 0.41 | $0.979 | $0.4 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Solana above $130 on September 13?No | buy | 0.36 | $0.550 | $0.2 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Will Brazil unban X before October?No | buy | 0.37 | $0.810 | $0.3 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Megaquake in September?No | buy | 0.32 | $0.950 | $0.3 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Another South American country bans X?No | buy | 0.51 | $0.979 | $0.5 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in September?No | buy | 0.61 | $0.976 | $0.6 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.37 | $0.810 | $0.3 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 0.41 | $0.730 | $0.3 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.900 | $0.3 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Olympic Basketball: Germany vs. FranceGermany | buy | 0.3 | $0.660 | $0.2 | Aug 7, 2024 |