Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 2 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 2.8% on 7 Apr 2025 and the low 0.2% on 28 Jun 2025. $408.96K traded over the market's life.
548 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 8:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 2 Apr 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2025 | 2.1% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mindyourownbusiness | Yes | 10.47K |
| Kakilambe | Yes | 3.7K |
| 0Xbafeite | Yes | 3.12K |
| LFGTTM | Yes | 2.58K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China between March 31, 2025, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-china-unban-bitcoin-by-june-30
| Onoon10 | Yes | 2.34K |
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 1.83K |
| chanii | Yes | 1.39K |
| Foleyy | Yes | 1.32K |
| memek | Yes | 1.12K |
| LeKryp | Yes | 625 |
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