Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.12K | $0.156 | $185.09 | -$145.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 961.54 | $0.156 | $150 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 300.21 |
| $0.047 |
| $19.06 |
| +$4.95 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10K | $0.010 | $15 | -$85 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 300 | $0.007 | $0.45 | -$1.65 |
| buy |
| 82.5 |
| $0.060 |
| $4.95 |
| May 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 505.64 | $0.021 | $10.67 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 190.46 | $0.260 | $49.52 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 300.21 | $0.047 | $14.11 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.157 | $180.95 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 7K | $0.001 | $7.15 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.007 | $2.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 414.43 | $0.179 | $74.23 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.037 | $1.48 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.87K | $0.035 | $100 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 80.18 | $0.017 | $1.36 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.72 | $0.800 | $26.18 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.010 | $100 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.040 | $50 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.009 | $10 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2600 on June 11 at 5 PM ET?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.041 | $4.1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high before July?No | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 65.07 | $0.307 | $20 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 362.08 | $0.944 | $341.8 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 237.74 | $0.840 | $199.7 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 124.34 | $0.862 | $107.18 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon reach #1 in Path of Exile 2 before March?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Megaquake in February?Yes | sell | 285.71 | $0.060 | $17.14 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Megaquake in February?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?No | buy | 34.67 | $0.144 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Was Trump hacked?Yes | buy | 190.57 | $0.040 | $7.62 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.089 | $10 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.049 | $4.9 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 GTA VI delay announced before November?Yes | buy | 174.9 | $0.029 | $5 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.023 | $5.75 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.024 | $6 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Anura Dissanayake win the Sri Lankan presidential election?Yes | buy | 217.48 | $0.430 | $93.52 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.007 | $7 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12 | Aug 19, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12 | Aug 19, 2024 |
 Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Aug 18, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.007 | $3.5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?Yes | buy | 231 | $0.018 | $4.16 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.012 | $60 | Aug 8, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | Aug 8, 2024 |