Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 31 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 31 Aug 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 5.5% on 31 Aug 2024 and the lowest 1.1% on 1 Oct 2024. $36.1K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 31 Aug 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2024 | 5.5% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On August 30, 2024, Brazilian supreme court judge Alexandre de Moraes ordered that X/Twitter be suspended within Brazil effective immediately. This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced by the government of any South American country, excluding Brazil, that use of X/Twitter is banned within that country for the majority of its citizens between August 30 (inclusive) and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Banned" is defined as a country's citizens being officially barred from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. An announcement or order of a ban made before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the ban goes into effect. The ban must be announced after this market's creation date (August 30) for it to count - previous bans will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant governments and X/Twitter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-south-american-country-bans-x-before-october
| karennn | Yes | 2 |
| Feminine-Special | Yes | 1.22 |
| chriskontlurads1970 | No | 0.15 |
| bookparisva1973 | No | 0.07 |
| 87d4nf8n9y0n | No | 0.07 |
| llptjjvu | No | 0.04 |
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