Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 7 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 1 Aug 2025 and the lowest 73.5% on 7 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 81% on 9 Jul 2025. $230.86K traded over the market's life.
93 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 7 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2025 | 73.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ilovemalort | No | 3.06K |
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 1.52K |
| ppp2024 | No | 1.1K |
| Natik |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Xi Jinping is removed from power -The Fed cuts rates -US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal -Israel strikes Iran Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+I.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+II.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-july-2
| No |
| 917.95 |
| slipcapital | No | 454.22 |
| Thin-Membrane | No | 362.17 |
| BugEater | No | 272.47 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 271.97 |
| Glinomes | No | 260 |
| HrTA88 | No | 190.48 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
