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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50.28 | +$0.28 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 312.5 |
| $0.160 |
| $35.94 |
| -$14.06 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20.8 | +$0.8 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20.45 | +$0.45 |
AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 18.99 | $0.790 | $16.23 | +$1.23 |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | No | 15.29 | $0.981 | $15.18 | +$0.18 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 14.86 | $0.740 | $14.29 | +$3.29 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $11.12 | +$1.12 |
US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10.1 | +$0.1 |
China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 10.27 | $0.974 | $9.9 | -$0.1 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5.49 | +$0.49 |
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | No | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 89.55 | $0.067 | $3.63 | -$2.37 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $3.35 | -$1.65 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 48.14 | $0.104 | $3.13 | -$1.87 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.280 | $0.89 | -$1.11 |
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 1.64 | $0.610 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.320 | $0.34 | -$1.66 |
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
| buy |
| 5.56 |
| $0.900 |
| $5 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.162 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 9?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 9?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.693 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 9?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jun 7, 2026 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 48.14 | $0.104 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.067 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 15.29 | $0.981 | $15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.126 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.994 | $4 | Sep 3, 2025 |