Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 44 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 11 Mar 2026.
Across the 203 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64% on 27 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 33.5% on 12 Mar 2026.
$346.26K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.75K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.31K bought Yes and $35.25K bought No; the largest was a $8.55K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is epsteinfiles with 38.6K shares; the largest No position is brdnx with 78.5K. Ten wallets hold 77.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 203 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| brdnx | No | 78.46K |
| epsteinfiles | Yes | 38.55K |
| huanghao | No | 20.34K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026
| woshiLimpeh |
| Yes |
| 14.92K |
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | Yes | 12.92K |
| Vietnam7 | No | 12.08K |
| pcb897 | No | 11.59K |
| illumination | Yes | 7.5K |
| stocktrader2123 | Yes | 7.1K |
| tja | Yes | 4.66K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
