Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 20 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 6 Jun 2026.
Across the 143 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24.5% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 4.3% on 11 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 5.1%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 9.7% on 7 Jun 2026.
$11.89 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $27.91K since listing. The order book holds $5.59K, with a 1.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 127 trades, $660.83 bought Yes and $11.9K bought No; the largest was a $2.53K buy of No at 96.6¢.
The largest Yes position is whoareuuuuu with 7.5K shares; the largest No position is zecpoolmaxi with 9.9K. Ten wallets hold 90.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 143 points, 6 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | 24.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zecpoolmaxi | No | 9.88K |
| whoareuuuuu | Yes | 7.52K |
| momo-the-cat | Yes | 3.12K |
This market asks whether Zcash's Orchard pool vulnerability publicized June 4 is confirmed to have been exploited on Zcash mainnet before it was fixed. This market resolves "Yes" if Shielded Labs, the Zcash Foundation, or the Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL) explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that the June 4 Zcash Orchard pool vulnerability was exploited on mainnet before the fix was activated by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Explicit confirmation of any of the following will qualify: - The Orchard pool bug was exploited on Zcash mainnet - Any extra, unauthorized, invalid, or unbacked Zcash was created in the Orchard pool through this vulnerability - A Zcash network upgrade, migration, audit, turnstile-accounting process (including the proposed new shielded pool with enforced turnstile accounting on exiting Orchard coins), or official investigation reveals excess or invalid Zcash in the Orchard pool that the source attributes to this specific vulnerability. New or different exploits targeting the Orchard pool after the original vulnerability was fixed are explicitly disqualified and will not qualify. This market will resolve based on official information from Shielded Labs, the Zcash Foundation, or the Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL), however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying exploit may also resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/zcashs-orchard-pool-confirmed-exploited-20260605210804589
| sipp- |
| No |
| 1.67K |
| wqujvj | No | 1.57K |
| AlexiosV | No | 820.01 |
| keiOS | Yes | 800 |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 731 |
| MaxEnt | Yes | 523.79 |
| Separate-Cattle | Yes | 517.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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