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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.170 | $24.28 | Oct 21, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 142.86 |
| $0.350 |
| $50 |
| Aug 15, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNo | buy | 190.48 | $0.210 | $40 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 156.51 | $0.639 | $100 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.977 | $69.78 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.840 | $60 | May 10, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $99000 and $101000 on May 9?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?Yes | buy | 511.78 | $0.098 | $50 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Yes | buy | 757.22 | $0.066 | $50 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 339.78 | $0.991 | $336.72 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 7?Yes | buy | 509.55 | $0.039 | $20 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 188.67 | $0.991 | $186.98 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 107.52 | $0.999 | $107.41 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | sell | 66.66 | $0.999 | $66.59 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | Feb 3, 2025 |