Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 34% on 19 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 86 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2024 to 14 Mar 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 14 Mar 2025 and the lowest 33% on 20 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 98.7% on 24 Feb 2025. $5.69M traded over the market's life.
209 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 2:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 86 points, 19 Dec 2024 – 14 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2024 | 34.0% |
| 14 Mar 2025 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.01M |
| TimeTraveler | No | 2K |
| FabikiII | Yes | 149.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the percentage of votes received by the AfD in the upcoming German election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/afd-of-vote-in-german-election
| Yes |
| 144.85 |
| Suburban-Marketer | Yes | 121.26 |
| RefJ. | Yes | 120 |
| CKE | Yes | 104.48 |
| Danirio | No | 102.57 |
| Moreload | Yes | 101.92 |
| Flo216 | Yes | 94.34 |
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